Meat chicken: increase in the amount of market oscillations

This week, from the perspective of market price analysis, the overall performance of broiler chickens has been weakening in the past week, and Jiangsu has only shown a rising trend.

The average price of broiler chickens in the main producing areas was 4.84 yuan/500g, down 1.48% from the previous week and 21.95% from the same period of last year. Among them, the average price of Liaoning 4.86 yuan / 500g, compared with last week fell 0.72%, up 24.95% over the same period last year; Henan average price 4.68 yuan / 500g, rose 4.25% over the previous week, up 18.04% over the same period last year; Jiangsu average price 5.08 Yuan/500g was up 2.27% from last week and up 26.96% from the same period of last year; Shandong's average price was 4.74 yuan/500g, down 3.27% from last week and up 18.50% from the same period of last year.

This week, from the economic analysis point of view: the overall profitability space fell slightly.

The gross production of meat-broiler chickens in the main producing areas was 1.77 yuan/feature, down 32.24% month-on-month, and up 159.00% year-on-year. Among them, Liaoning 1.84 yuan/feather, a decrease of 28.03%, a year-on-year increase of 371.79%; Henan 1.07 yuan/feather, a decrease of 58.55%, a year-on-year increase of 69.31%; Jiangsu 3.09 yuan/feather, an increase of 7.54%, a year-on-year increase of 259.30%; Shandong 1.10 yuan/feather, a decrease of 55.47% compared with the previous quarter, a year-on-year increase of 27.91%.

Analysis: The chickens before the large-scale breeding farms began to be sold, and chicken farmers in the market are afraid that the slaughterhouses will continue to suppress prices and they are eager to sell them. Therefore, the supply of chickens is relatively abundant. It is understood that the chickens of the previous year will be intensively slaughtered one after another, but the overall volume is small, and the price will decline in recent days. It is true that since January, the strong broiler prices have improved aquaculture efficiency, but there are still losses in the local area. It is understood that the incidence of mild influenza and Newcastle disease in major breeding provinces such as Shandong, Hebei and Henan has reached more than 50%. In addition, the drought situation is more serious and it is more conducive to the spread of germs. It is expected that there will be no obvious improvement in the short term. This phenomenon also led to a corresponding decrease in enthusiasm for broiler breeding companies in the above areas. The impact of the epidemic on the post-feed consumption situation still needs to continue to be concerned.


Note: This profit analysis does not include labor costs, utilities, equipment depreciation.

Figure 1. Trends in the price of broilers in the main producing areas 2009-2011 (03 weeks)


Figure 2. Profitability of meat-broiler chickens in the main producing areas 2009-2011 (03 weeks)

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