The current situation of the ammonium phosphate market is only a temporary phenomenon

Domestic ammonium phosphate market:

Upstream: The prices of raw materials such as sulphur and sulphuric acid continue to decline.

Downstream: The ammonium phosphate downstream distributor-based compound fertilizer manufacturers are still waiting to see.

Enterprise: In addition to 64% diammonium, the overall content of ammonium phosphate was slightly reduced.

Current Market Status: Upstream (price reduction) → Phosphate (down price) → Downstream (wait and see)

↑↓

Upstream (Price Reduction) ← Ammonium Phosphate Enterprises (Price Reduction)

international market:

FOB prices: Compared with the first half of December, the Baltic Sea was 575-585 US dollars / ton, low-end prices and high-end prices have risen by 10 US dollars / ton. Morocco 565-580 US dollars / ton, low-end prices rose by 5 US dollars / ton, no change in high-end prices.

CIF: Brazil 605-620 US dollars / ton, high-end prices rose by 2 US dollars / ton, the low-end prices unchanged.

Lianzhong Chemicals Information, Phosphate Editor Li Haipeng analysis: The ammonium phosphate market is currently undergoing a vicious cycle: raw material price cuts, downstream wait-and-see lead to corporate mental instability, price cuts, and corporate price cuts have further aggravated the market wait-and-see mood, raw materials have also had to follow suit. The author thinks whether the current market can get out of this dilemma is mainly to see whether the ammonium phosphate enterprises can maintain their mentality and control the price decline. The current market crisis is only a transient phenomenon. Under the premise that tariffs have become clear, enterprises can basically grasp the timing and proportions of market sales. Excessive wait-and-see has no significance for dealers.

Longzhong forecast: The market will gradually return to stability before and after New Year's Day.

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