The price of cabbage has plummeted and the cold epidemic of agricultural products came early

The results of the quality inspection of edible oil products in circulation during the 3rd quarter announced by the Provincial Administration for Industry and Commerce yesterday showed that the pass rate reached 94%. However, among the substandard products, two types of peanut oil were found to contain the carcinogenic substance aflatoxin B1. It is reported that the reason for the inclusion of aflatoxin B1 was due to the use of moldy peanuts for oil refining, and the problematic goods had already been taken off the shelves.

This survey included 150 batches of edible oil commodities sold by shopping malls and various food wholesale and retail enterprises in five districts of Zhuhai, Huizhou, Meizhou, Maoming, and Zhanjiang, and 141 batches of qualified batches. The pass rate is 94%. Among the nine unqualified products, two were found to contain the carcinogenic substance aflatoxin B1. They were: Xinlei brand 5L bottled pressed peanut oil produced by Huizhou Donglin Grain & Oil Products Co., Ltd., and Zhanjiang. An unlicensed bulk peanut oil produced in a private workshop in the city.

Reporter Chen Fengxia, a reporter specializing in the military, reported that Beijing had two five-year-olds, two hairs, one hair and five hairs.

The "avalanche"-like price of Chinese cabbage made Duan Yuqi, the head of the Zaozhuang cabbage base in Shandong, anxious. The local hundreds of thousands of acres of winter storage cabbage has reached the harvest season, but not only few people interested, the price has been diving again and again.

“Cleaning the skin's net dishes is currently only 1 cents a pound, which is 5 cents less than last year's sales of 5 cents / kg, the price dropped by 80%." Duan Yuqi told reporters that the current knives chopped and shipped out of the money Both need two cents each, so that, after removing fertilizers, seeds, etc., there is basically no profit.

According to data from the Ministry of Commerce, from October 10 to 30, the prices of Chinese cabbage in the monitored wholesale markets fell by 11.1%, 8.3%, and 11.4% respectively. That is, the cumulative price of Chinese cabbage has fallen by more than 30% in three weeks. In the same period, the average wholesale price of 18 kinds of vegetables dropped by 10% over the same period.

Duan Yuqi said that the price of Chinese cabbage has plummeted. First, as a result, the former price was higher and the area was expanded. The second is the recent warm weather and sufficient production. "If the price continues to fall in the next phase, farmers can only lose money to sell at a loss."

“Farmers will decide on the supply of this season based on the price of the previous season. The production of agricultural products (14.50, 0.00, and 0.00%) has a cycle. This cycle will cause the supply and demand to not match and the price will rise and fall.” Bank of Communications (4.77 , 0.00, 0.00%) said Tang Jianwei, an analyst.

In any case, the plunge in vegetable prices may make the downside of consumer prices (CPI) in October a point of interest. The Bank of Communications predicts that the CPI in October will increase by 5.4% year-on-year, much lower than the 6.1% increase in the previous month; the CPI is expected in December. The year-on-year increase further dropped to around 4%.

The price of winter storage cabbage plummeted from the actual upstream field purchase price, as well as the market retail price, the decrease was larger than the official data.

Duan Yuqi told reporters that at the time last year, the purchase price of Chinese cabbage (net vegetable) was more than 5 pounds per catty, but the price of this year's purchase has been declining, and there has been a purchase of 2 pounds and 5 pounds (net vegetable), which has now fallen to 1 Dime 1 pound.

There are not many vegetable vendors to be acquired this year. Each time one comes, it will also purchase 5 tons of 10 tons, which is a significant drop from the average purchase volume of 30 tons per year last year. The total area of ​​the entire site has hundreds of thousands of mu, and the current total sales volume has dropped 70%-80% from last year.

Duan Yuqi believes that the price of cabbage may decline in the near future.

At the same time, the reporter learned that the price of Chinese cabbage is also falling sharply in the retail market downstream of the wholesale market. For example, more than ten days ago in Beijing, it was 7 hair per kilogram of Chinese cabbage, which fell to 5 hairs a week ago. Currently, it is 3 hairs per catty.

Liu Tong, head of the statistical department of Xinfadi, the largest wholesale market in Beijing, said that the price of a field-acquired Chinese cabbage is 1 hair per catty, and it is between 1.5 and 1.8 hair per catty on the wholesale market. “This is the lowest cost price, plus freight, cabbage, chopping cabbage, and various labor costs. This is the bottom line. Last year it was between five and five cents.”

The price of Chinese cabbage is just a microcosm of the current sharp drop in the price of whole vegetables. According to the data from the Ministry of Commerce, the average wholesale price of 18 kinds of vegetables dropped by 10% in 3 weeks. The monitoring data of the Ministry of Agriculture also showed that from October 10 to 31, the wholesale price index of agricultural products and the wholesale price index of basket products fell by 7.5 and 9.3 points respectively, reaching 186.4 and 185.2 respectively.

Tang Jianwei, an analyst at Bank of Communications, believes that due to the impact of falling agricultural product prices, food prices in October fell by 0.3-0.7 percentage points month-on-month. It is expected that the October CPI increase will be only 5.4%, which is much lower than the 6% level in recent months.

The combination of production and sales mechanism is urgently needed. The large-scale Chinese cabbage planted in Shandong is mainly sold to Beijing, Guangzhou, and some regions in the northeast. Some of them enter the company to make kimchi, and some of them enter cafeteria supermarkets.

And so many cabbages, direct access to supermarkets, and the proportion of urban vegetable markets in the weekend is still very small.

After several months of trials in Beijing, the Ministry of Commerce decided in late September to promote the model of the on-vehicle vegetable market for the whole country. The market does not charge admission fees, and the vegetable from the agricultural base is directly connected with the public. The vegetable price ratio The supermarket price is about 15% lower.

If you establish a storage system, pork can still, but vegetables can not be stored, there is a problem of shelf life. “So the key is to establish the docking of the agricultural supermarket and reduce the middle circulation. When this rises, the farmers can get a benefit,” Tang Jianwei said.

However, whether the decline in vegetable prices has led to a reduction in the area planted by farmers next year has led to a sharp rise in vegetable prices again, which has become a matter of concern. Li Guoxiang, a research fellow at the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that it is necessary to change the current market and small-scale production methods to achieve a combination of production and sales.

"To establish a mechanism for combining production and sales, this is the most fundamental issue. At present, we lack the organization that is specifically implemented. Every city does not really do it, and it lacks the intensity of implementation," he said.

Chen Mingjun, deputy secretary-general of the China Vegetable Circulation Association, believes that the contradiction between small-scale production and large circulation of agricultural products has not been solved, farmers follow suit, small-scale decentralized operations, and blind production, which will inevitably lead to sudden increase in prices of agricultural products.

To solve this problem, establish an authoritative information platform for the government or the association, and in particular, establish an early warning and emergency response mechanism. According to the actual situation, it should be adjusted in time and respond in advance. “The current information is too chaotic and complicated. To integrate information, we must also be compatible with information, so that farmers understand the pre-production, post-production, and post-partum conditions and plant them according to actual conditions.”

The reporter learned that so far there has been no authoritative website for the supply and demand of agricultural products in the country.

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